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Good Investments In Asia

Kathleen Peddicord by Kathleen Peddicord
Nov 21, 2008
in Investing
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A skyline view of all of the property of Kuala Lumpur
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Where Is The Smart Money Going Now?

“Investors worldwide are feeling battered and bruised,” writes Philippines Correspondent Jeff Finney, “but they still need someplace to put their money. Where is the smart money going now?

“Fixed-income property paying out at least 5% per annum over three to five years. The 8% promises made by some developers are, in my opinion, risky and unachievable in most cases in the current climate. I wouldn’t buy into this level of promise, especially in Thailand, where it isn’t uncommon to exaggerate to get buyers in the door.

“Best buys in Asia remain the tourist-based condominium markets, which will show slower but steady gains in the next three years. In fact, I expect some real accelerated growth in some areas of the tourist property sector by the end of 2009.

“I do not think you will see strong capital growth in established markets like Bali and Phuket, but they will remain stable. Most buyers in these markets got in with cash, so the debt stress is minimal.

“Singapore is shot, and Hong Kong is soft.

“Look for expanding and medium-size markets. These include Boracay in the Philippines, Hua Hin or Pattaya in Thailand (not Samui), and possibly Penang in Malaysia (though this last is a small market island not likely to attract strong cash investment from foreign buyers).

“Look for international hotels moving into a new tourist market; that is your signal to buy. They bring in guests, who, as in Phuket, like what they see and come back to buy a place in the sun for themselves.

“Watch Boracay. ShangriLa has just completed a US$1,000-a-night 200-room hotel here, and a number of major international 5-star hotel chains are looking to do the same. The domestic airport is to be upgraded. In three years, you won’t recognize the place.

“Look to place yourself in established markets on this side of the world. Australia is a first choice. It has seen its dollar collapse against the U.S. dollar (down nearly 40%) but still has a stable property future. Sydney is best. Stay out of the central city area and try to get a water view. Look specifically to Alexandria, Bondi, and the North Shore.

“Now is not the time for China or Macau. Look instead to the Philippines, specifically to the condotels, which have maintained strong income flows. No other Asian country has developed the condotel idea as successfully.

“The Philippine peso has dropped back from 42 to US$1 to 50 to US$1. A very attractive discount on the currency. In addition, the overall health of the economy, compared with almost all other countries in the region, is bloody good.

“The management of the property is the single most important factor you need to look at when buying into one of these condotels. The developer is important, too, of course. Don’t be fooled into buying from a sexy and expensive brochure. Speak with the developer, not only the sales agent. Most important, find out who is managing the project and what they have done elsewhere. Do they understand the condotel sector? On what do they base their guaranteed income figures?”

Kathleen Peddicord

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Kathleen Peddicord

Kathleen Peddicord

Kathleen Peddicord has covered the live, retire, and do business overseas beat for more than 30 years and is considered the world's foremost authority on these subjects. She has traveled to more than 75 countries, invested in real estate in 21, established businesses in 7, renovated historic properties in 6, and educated her children in 4.

Kathleen has moved children, staff, enterprises, household goods, and pets across three continents, from the East Coast of the United States to Waterford, Ireland... then to Paris, France... next to Panama City, where she has based her Live and Invest Overseas business. Most recently, Kathleen and her husband Lief Simon are dividing their time between Panama and Paris.

Kathleen was a partner with Agora Publishing’s International Living group for 23 years. In that capacity, she opened her first office overseas, in Waterford, Ireland, where she managed a staff of up to 30 employees for more than 10 years. Kathleen also opened, staffed, and operated International Living publishing and real estate marketing offices in Panama City, Panama; Granada, Nicaragua; Roatan, Honduras; San Miguel de Allende, Mexico; Quito, Ecuador; and Paris, France.

Kathleen moved on from her role with Agora in 2007 and launched her Live and Invest Overseas group in 2008. In the years since, she has built Live and Invest Overseas into a successful, recognized, and respected multi-million-dollar business that employs a staff of 35 in Panama City and dozens of writers and other resources around the world.

Kathleen has been quoted by The New York Times, Money magazine, MSNBC, Yahoo Finance, the AARP, and beyond. She has appeared often on radio and television (including Bloomberg and CNBC) and speaks regularly on topics to do with living, retiring, investing, and doing business around the world.

In addition to her own daily e-letter, the Overseas Opportunity Letter, with a circulation of more than 300,000 readers, Kathleen writes regularly for U.S. News & World Report and Forbes.

Her newest book, "How to Retire Overseas: Everything You Need to Know to Live Well (for Less) Abroad," published by Penguin Random House, is the culmination of decades of personal experience living and investing around the world.

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